A general test for time dependence in parameters
提出一种基于三角展开的Trig检验,用于检测参数是否随时间变化,能有效识别结构突变和随机参数变化,并以美国通胀率为例验证其应用。
Abstract A new test for time‐dependent parameters is proposed. The Trig ‐test is based on a trigonometric expansion to approximate the unknown functional form of the variation in the parameters concerned. It is shown to have the correct empirical size and excellent power to detect structural breaks and stochastic parameter variation. The appropriate use of the Trig ‐test is demonstrated by testing for structural breaks in the US inflation rate. The test detects a statistically significant increase in the US inflation rate beginning in the early 1970s and lasting through to the early 1980s. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.