基于投影的回归模型一致性诊断检验

A CONSISTENT DIAGNOSTIC TEST FOR REGRESSION MODELS USING PROJECTIONS

Econometric Theory · 2006
被引 188 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种基于投影残差标记经验过程的回归模型拟合优度检验,克服了维数灾难和参数主观选择问题,并构造了相应的最小距离估计量,适用于存在条件异方差的数据。

Abstract

This paper proposes a consistent test for the goodness-of-fit of parametric regression models that overcomes two important problems of the existing tests, namely, the poor empirical power and size performance of the tests due to the curse of dimensionality and the subjective choice of parameters such as bandwidths, kernels, and integrating measures. We overcome these problems by using a residual marked empirical process based on projections (RMPP). We study the asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic, and we show that our test is able to detect local alternatives converging to the null at the parametric rate. It turns out that the asymptotic null distribution of the test statistic depends on the data generating process, and so a bootstrap procedure is considered. Our bootstrap test is robust to higher order dependence, in particular to conditional heteroskedasticity. For completeness, we propose a new minimum distance estimator constructed through the same RMPP as in the testing procedure. Therefore, the new estimator inherits all the good properties of the new test. We establish the consistency and asymptotic normality of the new minimum distance estimator. Finally, we present some Monte Carlo evidence that our testing procedure can play a valuable role in econometric regression modeling.The author thanks Carlos Velasco and Miguel A. Delgado for useful comments. The paper has also benefited from the comments of two referees and the co-editor. This research was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Education and Science reference number SEJ2004-04583/ECON and by the Universidad de Navarra reference number 16037001.

投影残差标记经验过程参数回归模型拟合优度检验最小距离估计自助法