随机波动率模型扩散系数的非参数估计

NONPARAMETRIC ESTIMATION OF THE DIFFUSION COEFFICIENT OF STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS

Econometric Theory · 2008
被引 56
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出基于傅里叶分析和已实现波动率的非参数估计量,用于估计连续时间模型的扩散系数,并证明其一致性和渐近正态性,蒙特卡洛模拟显示小样本无偏,应用于利率模型。

Abstract

In this paper, new fully nonparametric estimators of the diffusion coefficient of continuous time models are introduced. The estimators are based on Fourier analysis of the state variable trajectory observed and on the estimation of quadratic variation between observations by means of realized volatility. The estimators proposed are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. Moreover, the Fourier estimator can be iterated to get a fully nonparametric estimate of the diffusion coefficient in a bivariate model in which one state variable is the volatility of the other. The estimators are shown to be unbiased in small samples using Monte Carlo simulations and are used to estimate univariate and bivariate models for interest rates.

非参数估计扩散系数随机波动率模型傅里叶分析