Models for Managing Secrets
用简单概率模型分析管理秘密的权衡，发现秘密泄露概率随知情人数平方增长，并评估了多种反制措施，指出虚假信息策略能有效延长秘密保密时间。
Some elementary probability models are given that help articulate the trade-offs involved in managing secrets. One of these models captures the notion that the likelihood of disclosing a secret increases as the square of the number of people who are aware of it. Also, several classes of countermeasures are examined to determine their ability to increase the time window during which a secret can be held. One model suggests that disinformation countermeasures offer a promising technique for conserving secrets.