互补自动建模方法的比较:RETINA与PcGets

A COMPARISON OF COMPLEMENTARY AUTOMATIC MODELING METHODS: RETINA AND PcGets

Econometric Theory · 2005
被引 26
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

比较了RETINA和PcGets两种自动建模方法的特点,并用美国电信需求数据展示RETINA在样本内和样本外预测上优于线性回归和PcGets部分模型。

Abstract

In Perez-Amaral, Gallo, and White (2003, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statstics 65, 821–838), the authors proposed an automatic predictive modeling tool called relevant transformation of the inputs network approach (RETINA). It is designed to embody flexibility (using nonlinear transformations of the predictors of interest), selective search within the range of possible models, control of collinearity, out-of-sample forecasting ability, and computational simplicity. In this paper we compare the characteristics of RETINA with PcGets, a well-known automatic modeling method proposed by David Hendry. We point out similarities, differences, and complementarities of the two methods. In an example using U.S. telecommunications demand data we find that RETINA can improve both in- and out-of-sample over the usual linear regression model and over some models suggested by PcGets. Thus, both methods are useful components of the modern applied econometrician's automated modeling tool chest.

自动建模方法RETINAPcGets模型比较