Why Do Markets Move Together? An Investigation of U.S.‐Japan Stock Return Comovements
利用1988至1992年数据，通过日本股票在美国的存托凭证和美国股票构建隔夜与日内收益，发现宏观经济公告、汇率冲击等对美日股票收益相关性无显著影响，但市场指数的大幅冲击会增强相关性的幅度和持续性。
ABSTRACT This article explores the fundamental factors that affect cross‐country stock return correlations. Using transactions data from 1988 to 1992, we construct overnight and intraday returns for a portfolio of Japanese stocks using their NYSE‐traded American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and a matched‐sample portfolio of U. S. stocks. We find that U. S. macroeconomic announcements, shocks to the Yen/Dollar foreign exchange rate and Treasury bill returns, and industry effects have no measurable influence on U.S. and Japanese return correlations. However, large shocks to broad‐based market indices (Nikkei Stock Average and Standard and Poor's 500 Stock Index) positively impact both the magnitude and persistence of the return correlations.