The Decline in Household Saving and the Wealth Effect
利用家庭面板数据,估计不同类型资产资本利得对储蓄的影响,发现1984年以来个人储蓄率下降主要源于企业股权资本利得,且其效应远大于住房等其他资产。
Using a unique set of household-level panel data, we estimate the effect of capital gains on saving by asset type, controlling for observable and unobservable household-specific fixed effects. The results suggest that the decline in the personal saving rate since 1984 is largely due to the significant capital gains in corporate equities experienced over this period. Over 5-year periods, the effect of capital gains in corporate equities on saving is substantially larger than the effect of capital gains in housing or other assets. Failure to differentiate wealth effects across asset types results in a significant understatement of their size. © 2006 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.