A Test of the Regional Growth-Instability Frontier Using State Data
将投资组合框架应用于经济领域,预测存在凸的增长-不稳定前沿。利用美国各州的总产值数据检验了这一假设,证实了前沿的存在,并发现经济不稳定与多样性负相关。
<i>The application of the portfolio framework to the economy predicts the existence of a convex growth-instability frontier. Using two data sets on Gross State Product for the states of the United States, this hypothesis is tested. The tests confirm the existence of a convex frontier for economic growth and instability. The shape of the frontier is estimated, and growth-adjusted measures of economic instability based on the frontier are computed. Over long periods of time, economic instability is negatively correlated with a range of measures of economic diversity, providing further support for the portfolio view of economic growth.</i>