From Malthusian Stagnation to Modern Growth
研究人口增长、技术进步和生活水平的历史演变，区分马尔萨斯、后马尔萨斯和现代增长三个时期，并构建一个内生增长模型来解释这一转型过程。
This paper investigates the historical evolution of the relationship among population growth technological change and standard of living. The analysis focuses on two most important differences among the Malthusian Regime Post-Malthusian Regime and Modern Growth Regime. These were the behavior of income per capita and the relationship between the level of income per capita and the population growth rate. The Modern Growth Regime is characterized by steady growth in both income per capita and the level of technology. In the Malthusian regime technological progress and population growth was glacial by modern standards and income per capita was fairly constant. In contrast to the Modern Growth Regime the relationship between per capita income and population growth in the Malthusian Regime was positive. Post-Malthusian Regime shared one characteristic with each of the two regimes. In addition this paper developed and described an endogenous-growth model consistent with the above mentioned transition process.