How (Not) to Do Decision Theory
讨论了实证决策理论的目标和手段，认为其目的是提供预测和理解，并探讨了模型解释、心理因素和非选择数据在预测选择中的作用。
We discuss the goals and means of positive decision theory and the implications for how to do decision theory. We argue that the goal of positive economic theory generally is to provide predictions and understanding and that representation theorems and other results of decision theory should be seen as ways to achieve these goals. We also argue that the interpretation of a model is relevant to whether and how we use the model, that psychological considerations are not necessary for useful decision theory but can be helpful, and that nonchoice data, interpreted properly, can be valuable in predicting choice and therefore should not be ignored.