Automatic Block-Length Selection for the Dependent Bootstrap
回顾了时间序列的块自助法,比较了不同方法的渐近相对效率,并基于谱估计提出了一种自适应估计最优块长度的实用方法,适用于相关强度未知的时间序列。
Abstract We review the different block bootstrap methods for time series, and present them in a unified framework. We then revisit a recent result of Lahiri [Lahiri, S. N. (1999b). Theoretical comparisons of block bootstrap methods, Ann. Statist. 27:386–404] comparing the different methods and give a corrected bound on their asymptotic relative efficiency; we also introduce a new notion of finite-sample “attainable” relative efficiency. Finally, based on the notion of spectral estimation via the flat-top lag-windows of Politis and Romano [Politis, D. N., Romano, J. P. (1995). Bias-corrected nonparametric spectral estimation. J. Time Series Anal. 16:67–103], we propose practically useful estimators of the optimal block size for the aforementioned block bootstrap methods. Our estimators are characterized by the fastest possible rate of convergence which is adaptive on the strength of the correlation of the time series as measured by the correlogram.