高维面板模型中的推断及其在枪支管控中的应用

Inference in High-Dimensional Panel Models With an Application to Gun Control

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 2015
被引 177 · 同刊同年前 9%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

研究了高维面板数据模型中个体异质性的估计与推断问题,允许时变变量数大于样本量,通过变量选择实现有效推断,并应用于估计枪支普及率对犯罪率的影响。

Abstract

We consider estimation and inference in panel data models with additive unobserved individual specific heterogeneity in a high-dimensional setting. The setting allows the number of time-varying regressors to be larger than the sample size. To make informative estimation and inference feasible, we require that the overall contribution of the time-varying variables after eliminating the individual specific heterogeneity can be captured by a relatively small number of the available variables whose identities are unknown. This restriction allows the problem of estimation to proceed as a variable selection problem. Importantly, we treat the individual specific heterogeneity as fixed effects which allows this heterogeneity to be related to the observed time-varying variables in an unspecified way and allows that this heterogeneity may differ for all individuals. Within this framework, we provide procedures that give uniformly valid inference over a fixed subset of parameters in the canonical linear fixed effects model and over coefficients on a fixed vector of endogenous variables in panel data instrumental variable models with fixed effects and many instruments. We present simulation results in support of the theoretical developments and illustrate the use of the methods in an application aimed at estimating the effect of gun prevalence on crime rates.

高维面板模型固定效应变量选择枪支管制