间歇性与可调度发电技术的成本比较

Comparing the Costs of Intermittent and Dispatchable Electricity Generating Technologies

American Economic Review · 2011
被引 623 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

指出常用的“平准化成本”指标不适合比较间歇性发电(如风电、太阳能)与可调度发电(如核电、煤电)的经济性,会高估前者,并建议整合生产曲线、电价波动和全生命周期成本进行更合理的评估。

Abstract

Economic evaluations of alternative electric generating technologies typically rely on comparisons between their expected “levelized cost” per MWh supplied. I demonstrate that this metric is inappropriate for comparing intermittent generating technologies like wind and solar with dispatchable generating technologies like nuclear, gas combined cycle, and coal. It overvalues intermittent generating technologies compared to dispatchable base load generating technologies. It also likely overvalues wind generating technologies compared to solar generating technologies. Integrating differences in production profiles, the associated variations in wholesale market prices of electricity, and life-cycle costs associated with different generating technologies is necessary to provide meaningful comparisons between them.

间歇性发电技术可调度发电技术平准化成本发电技术经济比较