不完全监测下重复博弈折扣理论初探

Toward a Theory of Discounted Repeated Games with Imperfect Monitoring

Econometrica · 1990
被引 1252 · 同刊同年前 7%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究不完全监测下重复博弈的纯策略序贯均衡,通过自生成和bang-bang性质简化均衡分析,适用于非对称博弈,并证明均衡平均价值集随折扣因子单调递增。

Abstract

This paper investigates pure strategy sequential equilibria of repeated games with imperfect monitoring.The approach emphasizes the equilibrium value set and the static optimization problems embedded in extremal equilibria.A succession of propositions, central among which is "self-generation," allow properties of constrained efficient supergame equilibria to be deduced from the solutions of the static problems.We show that the latter include solutions having a "bang-bang" property; this affords a significant simplification of the equilibria that need be considered.These results apply to a broad class of asymmetric games, thereby generalizing our earlier work on optimal cartel equilibria.The bang-bang theorem is strengthened to a necessity result: under certain conditions, efficient sequential equilibria have the property that after every history, the value to players of the remainder of the equilibrium must be an extreme point of the equilibrium value set.General implications of the self-generation and bang-bang propositions include a proof of the monotonicity of the equilibrium average value set in the discount factor, and an iterative procedure for computing the value set.

重复博弈不完全监督自生成均衡价值集