The Effects of Population Aging on the Physician Services Market: A Computable Equilibrium Analysis
构建了一个医生服务市场的可计算均衡模型，模拟发现人口老龄化会提高老年人常用服务的价格和总支出，降低其他服务的价格和支出，且老年女性处境恶化。
This paper formulates a computable equilibrium model (CEM) of the market for physician services. The simulation results based upon the CEM are consistent with widely held beliefs about the effects of aging on the health care sector, for example, that aggregate expenditures will increase as the population ages. In addition, however, the simulations suggest differential effects on prices and expenditures for various types of services and on expenditures by different types of consumers. For example, prices and aggregate expenditures for services typically used by the elderly are found to increase under “older” age distributions, whereas prices and aggregate expenditures for other services are found to decrease. Elderly women are found to be unequivocally worse off under older as opposed to younger age structures; they spend more yet consume fewer services.