时域中的长记忆检验

LONG MEMORY TESTING IN THE TIME DOMAIN

Econometric Theory · 2007
被引 84 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

针对单变量时间序列,提出了一种完全基于回归的、滞后增强的拉格朗日乘子检验,用于检验分数阶积分替代假设,并允许短记忆成分服从一般线性过程,且考虑了条件异方差。

Abstract

An integration test against fractional alternatives is suggested for univariate time series. The new test is a completely regression-based, lag augmented version of the Lagrange multiplier (LM) test by Robinson (1991, Journal of Econometrics 47, 67–84). Our main contributions, however, are the following. First, we let the short memory component follow a general linear process. Second, the innovations driving this process are martingale differences with eventual conditional heteroskedasticity that is accounted for by means of White's standard errors. Third, we assume the number of lags to grow with the sample size, thus approximating the general linear process. Under these assumptions, limiting normality of the test statistic is retained. The usefulness of the asymptotic results for finite samples is established in Monte Carlo experiments. In particular, several strategies of model selection are studied.An earlier version of this paper was presented at the URCT Conference in Faro, Portugal, 2005, and at the Econometrics Seminar of the University of Zürich. We are in particular grateful to Peter Robinson and Michael Wolf for helpful comments. Moreover, we thank two anonymous referees for reports that greatly helped to improve the paper.

分数阶积分检验长记忆检验拉格朗日乘子检验时域分析