按区间贴现:跨期选择的广义模型

Discounting by Intervals: A Generalized Model of Intertemporal Choice

Management Science · 2006
被引 160
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出并检验了“按区间贴现”模型,认为贴现率既取决于结果距现在的时间,也取决于结果之间的时间间隔,并发现间隔极短时贴现率随间隔增加而上升(超可加贴现)。

Abstract

According to most models of intertemporal choice, an agent's discount rate is a function of how far the outcomes are removed from the present, and nothing else. This view has been challenged by recent studies, which show that discount rates tend to be higher the closer the outcomes are to one another (subadditive discounting) and that this can give rise to intransitive intertemporal choice. We develop and test a generalized model of intertemporal choice, the Discounting By Intervals (DBI) model, according to which the discount rate is a function of both how far outcomes are removed from the present and how far the outcomes are removed from one another. The model addresses past challenges to other models, most of which it includes as special cases, as well as the new challenges presented in this paper: Our studies show that when the interval between outcomes is very short, discount rate tends to increase with interval length (superadditive discounting). In the discussion we place our model and evidence in a broader theoretical context.

跨期选择折扣率时间间隔次可加折扣