单位根检验:一项蒙特卡洛研究

Tests for Unit Roots: A Monte Carlo Investigation

Journal of Business & Economic Statistics · 1989
被引 654 · 同刊同年前 1%
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

通过蒙特卡洛实验比较了Said-Dickey、Phillips和Phillips-Perron提出的单位根检验方法,发现这些检验在有限样本下的分布与Fuller和Dickey-Fuller的检验不同,且Phillips和Phillips-Perron的检验对模型误设更敏感。

Abstract

Recent work by Said and Dickey (1984 ,1985) , Phillips (1987), and Phillips and Perron(1988) examines tests for unit roots in the autoregressive part of mixed autoregressive-integrated-moving average (ARIHA) models (tests for stationarity). Monte Carlo experiments show that these unit root tests have different finite sample distributions than the unit root tests developed by Fuller(1976) and Dickey and Fuller (1979, l981) for autoregressive processes. In particular, the tests developed by Philllps (1987) and Phillips and Perron (1988) seem more sensitive to model misspeciflcation than the high order autoregressive approximation suggested by Said and Diekey(1984).

单位根检验蒙特卡洛模拟有限样本分布模型误设定