The Dynamics of Farm Incomes: Panel data analysis using the Farm Accounts Survey
利用苏格兰农场账户调查的纵向数据，研究了1988/89至1999/2000年间农场收入的波动性和流动性，发现低收入持续存在且受农场规模和农民年龄影响。
This paper uses longitudinal information from the Scottish Farm Accounts Survey to explore the dynamics of Scottish farm incomes between 1988/89 and 1999/2000. Both the Net Farm Income and Cash Income of farms are considered. The results show high levels of income variability and income mobility within Scottish agriculture. Although exit rates from the lowest income groups remain relatively high even when spells of low income have lasted a number of years, there is evidence of farms with persistent low farm income and farms experiencing repeated spells of low‐income. Smaller farm size and having a farmer aged over 65 increase both the probability that a farm will fall into the lowest income group and the length of time spent in that income group. Further the results suggest that the impact of the post‐1997 agricultural recession on income mobility depended on the income status of the farm when the recession began.