A Trend Projection of High Fructose Corn Syrup Substitution for Sugar
用趋势模型预测美国高果糖玉米糖浆替代糖的进程，发现人均和总糖消费将下降，对国内糖生产商影响小，成本主要由出口国承担，消费者节省有限。
Abstract High fructose corn syrup is a comparatively low‐priced sugar substitute which is experiencing rapid demand growth. A simple logistical trend model suggests that both per capita and total U.S. sugar consumption will decrease for several years as high fructose corn syrup is adopted. The impact on domestic sugar producers under current policy is minimal with costs borne primarily by sugar‐exporting countries. Food manufacturers can reduce production costs, and some of this may be passed to consumers in lower product prices. Per capita consumer savings, however, will be small. The impact on corn prices also will be small.