Fertility and the Standard of Living in Early Modern England: in Consideration of Wrigley and Schofield
重新检验16至19世纪英格兰生育率与实际工资的关系，发现Wrigley和Schofield报告的50年滞后被高估，实际平均滞后约16年，区域工资数据支持12至16年。
Comparing the dating of turning points of fertility with real wage trends for the sixteenth through nineteenth centuries, Wrigley and Schofield reported that an average of 50 years elapsed between changes in real wages and in fertility. Using a formal statistical procedure, it is shown that over these three centuries the average lag length was closer to 16 years. With eighteenth-century regional wage data the estimates of average lag length range between 12 and 16 years.