Law, finance and development: further analyses of longitudinal data
分析了英、法、德、美四国1970-2005年股东保护法律数据,质疑普通法系国家股东保护更强且促进股市发展的观点,探讨因果关系与内生性问题。
This paper analyses a longitudinal dataset on legal protection of shareholders over a 36 year period, 1970--2005, for four advanced countries, the UK, France, Germany and the USA. It examines two aspects of the legal origin hypothesis--whether shareholder protection is higher in the common law countries (UK and USA) than in the civil law countries (France and Germany) and whether shareholder protection matters for stock market development in the short and long runs. It also examines the 'causation' issue and the 'endogeneity' problem--whether greater shareholder protection leads to stock market development or whether stock market development leads to changes in law. The paper casts serious doubt on the validity of the basic theses of the Anglo Saxon legal and developmental model. Copyright The Author 2009. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Cambridge Political Economy Society. All rights reserved., Oxford University Press.