Long-term unemployment, the invention of ‘hysteresis’ and the misdiagnosis of structural unemployment in the UK
利用英国1940年代至今的数据，质疑了失业会降低就业能力的观点，指出该观点源于统计证据的误读，并导致政策资源错配，反而促使失业者转向病残津贴。
This paper investigates the empirical basis for the belief that unemployment makes people less 'employable', and that the existence of a pool of long-term unemployed people is therefore in itself a barrier to full employment. Drawing on data for Great Britain from the 1940s to the present day, it shows that this idea has arisen through misinterpretations of the statistical evidence. The resulting policies, besides diverting resources from the demand-side programmes appropriate to the true situation of structural unemployment, appear to have created a problem of the kind they were intended to address, by encouraging unemployed people to move onto sickness benefits. Copyright 2005, Oxford University Press.