Who Wins the Olympic Games: Economic Resources and Medal Totals
研究1960至1996年间国家人口和经济资源如何决定奥运奖牌总数，发现人口和人均收入对奖牌数有类似影响，并预测了2000年悉尼奥运会的结果。
This paper examines determinants of Olympic success at the country level. Does the United States win its fair share of Olympic medals? Why does China win only 6% of the medals even though it has one-fifth of the world's population? We consider the role of population and economic resources in determining medal totals from 1960 to 1996. At the margin, population and income per capita have similar effects, suggesting that both a large population and high per capita GDP are needed to generate high medal totals. We also provide out-of-sample predictions for the 2000 Olympics in Sydney. 2004 President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.