ESTIMATING CONTINUOUS-TIME MODELS ON THE BASIS OF DISCRETE DATA VIA AN EXACT DISCRETE ANALOG
回顾了Bergstrom在连续时间建模方面的贡献,重点介绍他用精确离散模拟估计结构连续时间模型参数的方法,并讨论其未被广泛采用的原因及当前的相关性。
This paper offers a perspective on A.R. Bergstrom’s contribution to continuous-time modeling, focusing on his preferred method of estimating the parameters of a structural continuous-time model using an exact discrete-time analog. Some inherent difficulties in this approach are discussed, which help to explain why, in spite of his prescience, the methods around his time were not universally adopted as he had hoped. Even so, it is argued that Bergstrom’s contribution and legacy is secure and retains some relevance today for the analysis of macroeconomic and financial time series.