Customer-Base Concentration: Implications for Firm Performance and Capital Markets
研究了客户集中度如何影响供应商企业的财务表现和股票市场估值，发现客户集中度与会计回报率正相关，且投资者对客户集中度变化的信息反应不足。
ABSTRACT This study investigates whether and how customer-base concentration affects supplier firm fundamentals and stock market valuation. I compile a comprehensive sample of supply chain relationships and develop a measure (CC) to capture the extent to which a supplier's customer base is concentrated. In contrast to the conventional view of customer-base concentration as an impediment to supplier firm performance, I document a positive contemporaneous association between CC and accounting rates of return, suggesting that efficiencies accrue to suppliers with concentrated customer bases. Consistent with a cause-and-effect link between customer-base concentration and supplier firm performance, analysis of intertemporal changes demonstrates that CC increases predict efficiency gains in the form of reduced operating expenses per dollar of sales and enhanced asset utilization. Using stock returns tests, I find that investors underreact to the implications of changes in customer-base concentration for future firm fundamentals when setting stock prices. A trading strategy that exploits investors' underreaction yields abnormal stock returns over the 30-year period studied. JEL Classifications: M41; L25; G14. Data Availability: Data are available from the sources indicated in the text.