The European agricultural trade policies and poverty
评估改革欧洲农业贸易政策对欧洲及发展中国家贫困的影响,通过可计算一般均衡模型模拟多哈回合协议和欧洲农业自由化,发现减贫效果温和但不大,但改革仍有必要。
This paper tries to estimate the effects of reforming European agricultural trade policy on poverty in Europe and in the developing world. After setting out a conceptual framework linking trade and poverty, it describes a detailed computable general equilibrium modelling exercise showing the effects on poverty of a possible agreement in the Doha Round of the World Trade Organization. It then conducts a global simulation on European agricultural liberalisation and by comparing it with the Doha simulations infers the poverty effects in the developing world. These are benign but not very large. This does not change the case for reform, however; the Common Agricultural Policy harms trade relations with developing countries and causes poverty in Europe.