外部董事、机构投资者与管理盈利预测特征的关系

The Association between Outside Directors, Institutional Investors and the Properties of Management Earnings Forecasts

Journal of Accounting Research · 2005
被引 1436 · 同刊同年前 5%
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现,外部董事比例高、机构持股多的公司更可能发布盈利预测,且预测更频繁、更具体、更准确、乐观偏差更小。这些结果在公平披露规则前后均成立,但机构持股集中度与预测质量负相关,该负相关在公平披露规则后减弱。

Abstract

We investigate the relation of the board of directors and institutional ownership with the properties of management earnings forecasts. We find that firms with more outside directors and greater institutional ownership are more likely to issue a forecast and are inclined to forecast more frequently. In addition, these forecasts tend to be more specific, accurate and less optimistically biased. These results are robust to changes specification, Granger causality tests, and simultaneous equation analyses. The results are similar in the pre– and post–Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD) eras. Additional analysis suggests that concentrated institutional ownership is negatively associated with forecast properties. This association is less negative in the post–Reg FD environment, which is consistent with Reg FD reducing the ability of firms to privately communicate information to select audiences.

外部董事机构投资者管理层盈利预测预测特性