战略决策框架中参考点的转移与风险-回报关联的变化

Shifts of Reference Points for Framing of Strategic Decisions and Changing Risk-Return Associations

Management Science · 2000
被引 111
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

用均值二次差替代方差衡量风险,复制了前景理论预测的非线性风险-回报关联,发现至少少数企业会转向个体参考水平(以最小风险水平表示),且风险-回报关系在相对位置稳定时保持稳定,比环境变化更能解释风险-回报关系的切换。

Abstract

Previous results on nonlinear risk-return associations, predicted by prospect theory, are replicated with mean quadratic differences instead of variance as a measure of risk. In contrast to assumptions of these studies, results with a sample from the COMPUSTAT-database provide evidence that at least a minority of firms shift to individual reference levels, which are represented here through levels of minimal risk. Further, changes of environmental conditions as an alternative explanation for switching risk-return relationships are tested against prospect theory predictions. It is shown that risk-return relationships remain stable as long as the relative position to the individual reference level is stable. This explains switching risk-return relationships better than changing environmental conditions.

参考点转移战略决策框架风险-收益关联前景理论