A Robust Test for Weak Instruments
针对线性工具变量回归中的弱工具变量问题,开发了一种对异方差、自相关和聚类稳健的检验方法,并应用于跨期替代弹性估计,发现比Stock和Yogo检验更易拒绝弱工具假设。
We develop a test for weak instruments in linear instrumental variables regression that is robust to heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, and clustering. Our test statistic is a scaled nonrobust first-stage F statistic. Instruments are considered weak when the two-stage least squares or the limited information maximum likelihood Nagar bias is large relative to a benchmark. We apply our procedures to the estimation of the elasticity of intertemporal substitution, where our test cannot reject the null of weak instruments in a larger number of countries than the test proposed by Stock and Yogo in 2005. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.