显著性检验如何能被去制度化?

How Can Significance Tests Be Deinstitutionalized?

ORGANIZATIONAL RESEARCH METHODS · 2011
被引 65
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出解决零假设显著性检验(NHST)方法论问题的方案,认为需要从制度与认识论层面进行改革,而非仅做微小调整,并分类讨论了各项改革建议的实践重要性与实施时间。

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to propose possible solutions to the methodological problem of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST), which is framed as deeply embedded in the institutional structure of the social and organizational sciences. The core argument is that, for the deinstitutionalization of statistical significance tests, minor methodological changes within an unreformed epistemology will be as unhelpful as emotive exaggerations of the ill effects of NHST. Instead, several institutional-epistemological reforms affecting cultural-cognitive, normative, and regulative processes and structures in the social sciences are necessary and proposed in this article. In the conclusion, the suggested research reforms, ranging from greater emphasis on inductive and abductive reasoning to statistical modeling and Bayesian epistemology, are classified according to their practical importance and the time horizon expected for their implementation. Individual-level change in researchers' use of NHST is unlikely if it is not facilitated by these broader epistemological changes.

社会科学方法论统计推断科学哲学组织科学