Remittances and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka
研究了孟加拉国、印度和斯里兰卡三国汇款与经济增长之间的因果关系，发现孟加拉国汇款增长促进经济增长，印度无因果关系，斯里兰卡存在双向因果关系。
Abstract In many developing countries, remittance payments from migrant workers are increasingly becoming a significant source of export income. This article investigates the causal link between remittances and economic growth in three countries, Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka, by employing the Granger causality test under a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework (Granger, C.W.J. (1988) Some recent developments in the concept of causality. Journal of Econometrics, 39, pp. 199–211). Using time series data over a 25-year period, we found that growth in remittances does lead to economic growth in Bangladesh. In India, there seems to be no causal relationship between growth in remittances and economic growth; but in Sri Lanka, a two-way directional causality is found; namely economic growth influences growth in remittances and vice-versa. The article also discusses a number of policy issues arising from the causality results.