有效市场假说与股票市场内幕交易

The Efficient Market Hypothesis and Insider Trading on the Stock Market

Journal of Political Economy · 1990
被引 155
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究拥有私有信息的大交易者如何选择隐藏信息(导致“混同均衡”),从而挑战有效市场假说,并说明在收益波动不大时,其他竞争性交易者也从这种均衡中受益。

Abstract

The authors study behavior of a large trader with private information about the mean of an asset with a risky return. They argue that if the variability of the return is not too great, typically the trader will find it desirable to ensure that the market price does not reveal his information, that is, that a "pooling" equilibrium arises. Such an equilibrium has the advantage of avoiding the incentive constraints that arise in "separating" equilibria, where information can be inferred from prices. Thus, the efficient market hypothesis may well fail if there is imperfect competition. Despite the uninformativeness of prices, the other (competitive) traders are also better off in the pooling equilibrium than in any separating equilibrium, again if one assumes variability. Copyright 1990 by University of Chicago Press.

有效市场假说内幕交易混同均衡分离均衡