Levy和Levy(2002)《前景理论:无事生非?》的数据实际上支持前景理论

The Data of Levy and Levy (2002) “Prospect Theory: Much Ado About Nothing?” Actually Support Prospect Theory

Management Science · 2003
被引 60
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

指出Levy和Levy(2002)声称反驳前景理论的数据,在正确应用前景理论公式后完全符合其预测,他们的错误在于忽略了概率权重。

Abstract

Levy and Levy (Management Science2002) present data that, according to their claims, violate prospect theory. They suggest that prospect theory's hypothesis of an S-shaped value function, concave for gains and convex for losses, is incorrect. However, all the data of Levy and Levy are perfectly consistent with the predictions of prospect theory, as can be verified by simply applying prospect theory formulas. The mistake of Levy and Levy is that they, incorrectly, thought that probability weighting could be ignored.

前景理论S型价值函数概率权重