取对数还是不取对数:在因变量偏态情况下,自助法作为调节效应参数估计的替代方法

To Log or Not to Log: Bootstrap as an Alternative to the Parametric Estimation of Moderation Effects in the Presence of Skewed Dependent Variables

ORGANIZATIONAL RESEARCH METHODS · 2000
被引 113
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

蒙特卡洛模拟发现,对正偏态因变量取对数会严重低估调节效应,而简单百分位自助法在原始偏态数据上能更准确估计真实调节效应,且不受参数假设违背影响。

Abstract

When gross deviations from parametric assumptions are observed, conventional data transformations are often applied with little regard for substantive theoretical implications. One such transformation involves using the logarithm of positively skewed dependent variables. Log transformations were shown to severely decrease estimates of true moderator effects using moderated regression procedures in a Monte Carlo simulation. Estimates of moderator effect sizes were substantially better estimates of the true latent moderator effect (i.e., larger by a multiple of 2.6 to 534) when estimated using a simple percentile bootstrap procedure in the original, positively skewed data. Conclusions with regard to the presence or absence of a true moderator effect using a simple bootstrap procedure were unaffected by the violation of parametric assumptions in the original, positively skewed data. In contrast, moderated regression analysis performed on a log-transformed dependent variable severely increased Type-II error. Implications are drawn for applied psychological and management research.

统计学计量经济学心理学管理学研究方法