A Two‐Stage Rural Household Demand Analysis: Microdata Evidence from Jiangsu Province, China
利用江苏省微观数据，评估经济和人口因素对农村家庭九种食品和五种非食品商品需求的影响，发现1980年代后期食品消费增长缓慢源于收入停滞而非消费饱和。
Abstract In this paper we evaluate economic and demographic effects on China's rural household demand for nine food commodities: vegetables, pork, beef and lamb, poultry, eggs, fish, sugar, fruit, and grain; and five nonfood commodity groups: clothing, fuel, stimulants, housing, and durables. A two‐stage budgeting allocation procedure is used to obtain an empirically tractable amalgamative demand system for food commodities which combine an upper‐level AIDS model and a lower‐level GLES as a modeling framework. The results indicate that the slow growth of food consumption in China during the latter half of the 1980s is a result of income stagnation rather than consumption saturation. Growth in the demand for better food and shelter by Chinese rural households will continue to be a major concern.