民粹主义的政治理论

A Political Theory of Populism*

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2012
被引 467
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究选民担心政客被富精英腐蚀时,诚实政客为传递清廉信号会选择左倾民粹政策,而受右翼利益影响的政客则可能选择中间或左倾政策,并分析了影响民粹偏向的多种因素。

Abstract

Abstract When voters fear that politicians may be influenced or corrupted by the rich elite, signals of integrity are valuable. As a consequence, an honest politician seeking reelection chooses “populist” policies—that is, policies to the left of the median voter—as a way of signaling that he is not beholden to the interests of the right. Politicians that are influenced by right-wing special interests respond by choosing moderate or even left-of-center policies. This populist bias of policy is greater when the value of remaining in office is higher for the politician; when there is greater polarization between the policy preferences of the median voter and right-wing special interests; when politicians are perceived as more likely to be corrupt; when there is an intermediate amount of noise in the information that voters receive; when politicians are more forward-looking; and when there is greater uncertainty about the type of the incumbent. We also show that soft term limits may exacerbate, rather than reduce, the populist bias of policies.

民粹主义信号传递政治腐败政策偏差