量化宽松对利率的影响:渠道与政策含义

The Effects of Quantitative Easing on Interest Rates: Channels and Implications for Policy

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · 2011
被引 1203 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

研究了美联储2008-09年和2010-11年两轮量化宽松对利率的影响,发现其通过信号、长期安全资产需求、通胀等渠道起作用,且购买不同资产对不同利率影响不同。

Abstract

We evaluate the effect of the Federal Reserve's purchase of long-term Treasuries and other long-term bonds (QE1 in 2008-09 and QE2 in 2010-11) on interest rates. Using an event-study methodology, we reach two main conclusions. First, it is inappropriate to focus only on Treasury rates as a policy target, because quantitative easing works through several channels that affect particular assets differently. We find evidence for a signaling channel, a unique demand for long-term safe assets, and an inflation channel for both QE1 and QE2, and a mortgage-backed securities (MBS) prepayment channel and a corporate bond default risk channel for QE1 only. Second, effects on particular assets depend critically on which assets are purchased. The event study suggests that MBS purchases in QE1 were crucial for lowering MBS yields as well as corporate credit risk and thus corporate yields for QE1, and Treasuries-only purchases in QE2 had a disproportionate effect on Treasuries and agency bonds relative to MBSs and corporate bonds, with yields on the latter falling primarily through the market's anticipation of lower future federal funds rates.

量化宽松利率传导渠道资产购买政策效应