Spatiotemporal Modeling of Asian Citrus Canker Risks: Implications for Insurance and Indemnification Fund Models
构建时空模型评估柑橘溃疡病的传播风险，并用于定价年度保险合同，在果园感染时向生产者支付预定赔偿，为风险管理政策提供参考。
Abstract Asiatic citrus canker is a disease that poses a significant hazard to commercial citrus production. This article examines spatiotemporal models of the risks of citrus canker transmission. Models evaluate risks and are used to price annual contracts, which would pay producers a prespecified indemnity in the event that their grove is found to be infected with canker. Implications for risk management policy are discussed.