固定汇率对货币政策的影响

The Effect of Fixed Exchange Rates on Monetary Policy

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2004
被引 757
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

通过比较钉住汇率与非钉住汇率国家,发现钉住国更倾向于跟随基准国利率变动,并采用实际行为而非官方声明分类,扩展了样本并考虑了资本管制等因素。

Abstract

To investigate how a fixed exchange rate affects monetary policy, this paper classifies countries as pegged or nonpegged and examines whether a pegged country must follow the interest rate changes in the base country. Despite recent research which hints that all countries, not just pegged countries, lack monetary freedom, the evidence shows that pegs follow base country interest rates more than nonpegs. This study uses actual behavior, not declared status, for regime classification; expands the sample including base currencies other than the dollar; examines the impact of capital controls, as well as other control variables; considers the time series properties of the data carefully; and uses cointegration and other levels-relationship analysis to provide additional insights.

固定汇率货币政策利率联动资本管制