萧条婴儿:宏观经济经历是否影响风险承担?

Depression Babies: Do Macroeconomic Experiences Affect Risk Taking?*

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2011
被引 2435 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用1960-2007年美国消费者金融调查数据,发现经历过低股票回报的个体更不愿承担金融风险、更少参与股市、投资股票比例更低且对未来回报更悲观,低债券回报经历也减少债券持有。

Abstract

We investigate whether individual experiences of macroeconomic shocks affect financial risk taking, as often suggested for the generation that experienced the Great Depression. Using data from the Survey of Consumer Finances from 1960 to 2007, we find that individuals who have experienced low stock market returns throughout their lives so far report lower willingness to take financial risk, are less likely to participate in the stock market, invest a lower fraction of their liquid assets in stocks if they participate, and are more pessimistic about future stock returns. Those who have experienced low bond returns are less likely to own bonds. Results are estimated controlling for age, year effects, and household characteristics. More recent return experiences have stronger effects, particularly on younger people.

宏观经济经历风险承担股票市场参与投资者信念