购物外部性与自我实现的失业波动

Shopping Externalities and Self-Fulfilling Unemployment Fluctuations

Journal of Political Economy · 2016
被引 201
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一个理论,当企业增加劳动力时,会提高需求并削弱其他企业的竞争,从而引发就业与产品市场条件之间的反馈,导致多重均衡和自我实现的失业波动。

Abstract

We propose a theory of self-fulfilling unemployment fluctuations. When a firm increases its workforce, it raises demand and weakens competition facing other firms, as employed workers spend more and have less time to search for low prices than unemployed workers. These effects induce other firms to hire more labor in order to scale up their presence in the product market. The feedback between employment and product market conditions generates multiple equilibria—and the possibility of self-fulfilling fluctuations—if differences in shopping behavior between employed and unemployed are large enough. Evidence on spending, shopping, and prices suggests that this is the case.

购物外部性自我实现失业波动多重均衡