无摩擦条件下Q与现金流如何影响投资:一个解析解释

How Q and Cash Flow Affect Investment without Frictions: An Analytic Explanation

Review of Economic Studies · 2011
被引 154
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

在无调整成本或融资摩擦的随机动态框架中推导出托宾Q的闭式解,解析证明投资与Q及现金流正相关,并解释了小企业和成长型企业现金流效应更大的现象。

Abstract

We derive a closed-form solution for Tobin's <it>Q</it> in a stochastic dynamic framework. We show analytically that investment is positively related to Tobin's <it>Q</it> and cash flow, even in the absence of adjustment costs or financing frictions. Both <it>Q</it> and investment move in the same direction as expected revenue growth, so changes in expected revenue growth induce <it>Q</it> and investment to comove positively. Similarly, shocks to current cash flow, arising from shocks to the user cost of capital in our model, cause investment and cash flow per unit of capital to comove positively. Furthermore, we show that this alternative mechanism for the relationship among investment, <it>Q</it>, and cash flow delivers larger cash flow effects for smaller- and faster-growing firms, as observed in the data. Moreover, the empirically small sensitivity of investment to Tobin's <it>Q</it> does not imply implausibly large adjustment costs in our model (since there are no adjustment costs). Calibrating the model generates values of <it>Q</it> similar to those in the data; investment is more sensitive to cash flow than it is to <it>Q</it>, and both responses are of empirically plausible magnitudes.

托宾Q现金流投资无摩擦模型