基于Copula的多元时间序列模型的拟合优度检验

GOODNESS-OF-FIT TESTS FOR MULTIVARIATE COPULA-BASED TIME SERIES MODELS

Econometric Theory · 2016
被引 10
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

针对基于Copula函数的平稳时间序列模型,提出一种依赖乘子自助法的拟合优度检验方法,适用于任意平稳强混合时间序列,并通过蒙特卡洛实验验证了有限样本表现。

Abstract

In recent years, stationary time series models based on copula functions became increasingly popular in econometrics to model nonlinear temporal and cross-sectional dependencies. Within these models, we consider the problem of testing the goodness-of-fit of the parametric form of the underlying copula. Our approach is based on a dependent multiplier bootstrap and it can be applied to any stationary, strongly mixing time series. The method extends recent i.i.d. results by Kojadinovic et al. (2011) and shares the same computational benefits compared to methods based on a parametric bootstrap. The finite-sample performance of our approach is investigated by Monte Carlo experiments for the case of copula-based Markovian time series models.

copula拟合优度检验多元时间序列相依乘子bootstrap强混合过程