政治动机与选举竞争:均衡分析与实验证据

Political motivations and electoral competition: Equilibrium analysis and experimental evidence

Games and Economic Behavior · 2013
被引 26
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

通过理论和实验研究两候选人选举博弈的纳什均衡,发现除中位数选民结果和双边政策分化外,还存在单边和概率性政策分化两种新均衡,并验证了理论预测。

Abstract

We study both theoretically and experimentally the set of Nash equilibria of a classical one-dimensional election game with two candidates. These candidates are interested in power and ideology, but their weights on these two motives are not necessarily identical. Apart from obtaining the well known median voter result and the two-sided policy differentiation outcome, the paper uncovers the existence of two new equilibrium configurations, called 'one-sided' and 'probabilistic' policy differentiation, respectively. Our analysis shows how these equilibrium configurations depend on the relative interests in power (resp., ideology) and the uncertainty about voters' preferences. The theoretical predictions are supported by the data collected from a laboratory experiment, as we observe convergence to the Nash equilibrium values at the aggregate as well as at the individual levels in all treatments, and the comparative statics effects across treatments are as predicted by the theory. © 2013 Elsevier Inc.

选举博弈纳什均衡政策分化候选人动机