基于无调优参数统计量的自回归单位根假设的强检验

A POWERFUL TEST OF THE AUTOREGRESSIVE UNIT ROOT HYPOTHESIS BASED ON A TUNING PARAMETER FREE STATISTIC

Econometric Theory · 2009
被引 23
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出一族非参数单位根检验,包含Breitung检验为特例,通过调整参数d可提高渐近局部功效,在小d时接近参数功效包络,且结合GLS去势和自助法后有限样本性质优良。

Abstract

This paper presents a family of simple nonparametric unit root tests indexed by one parameter, d , and containing the Breitung (2002, Journal of Econometrics 108, 342–363) test as the special case d = 1. It is shown that (a) each member of the family with d > 0 is consistent, (b) the asymptotic distribution depends on d and thus reflects the parameter chosen to implement the test, and (c) because the asymptotic distribution depends on d and the test remains consistent for all d > 0, it is possible to analyze the power of the test for different values of d . The usual Phillips–Perron and Dickey–Fuller type tests are indexed by bandwidth, lag length, etc., but have none of these three properties. It is shown that members of the family with d < 1 have higher asymptotic local power than the Breitung (2002) test, and when d is small the asymptotic local power of the proposed nonparametric test is relatively close to the parametric power envelope, particularly in the case with a linear time trend. Furthermore, generalized least squares (GLS) detrending is shown to improve power when d is small, which is not the case for the Breitung (2002) test. Simulations demonstrate that when applying a sieve bootstrap procedure, the proposed variance ratio test has very good size properties, with finite-sample power that is higher than that of the Breitung (2002) test and even rivals the (nearly) optimal parametric GLS detrended augmented Dickey–Fuller test with lag length chosen by an information criterion.

非参数单位根检验方差比检验渐近局部势Breitung检验