Distinguished Lecture on Economics in Government—Fighting Poverty: Lessons from Recent U.S. History
分析了1990年代美国福利改革、强劲经济及政策变化(如EITC和最低工资扩张)如何共同推动女性就业率上升和贫困率下降,但长期家庭福祉影响尚待观察。
Welfare reform efforts in the 1990s aimed at reducing welfare dependence and moving women into work. Public assistance use fell and labor force participation among mothers rose at a stunning rate over the decade. Poverty declined, but at a slower rate. These changes are causally related to the strong macroeconomy, welfare reform efforts, and other policy changes, especially the EITC and minimum wage expansions. This paper concludes that all of these effects reinforced each other, producing very large behavioral changes. It is too early to predict the effects of these changes on long-term family well-being.