评估分析税收与劳动供给的实证方法

Assessing Empirical Approaches for Analyzing Taxes and Labor Supply

Journal of Human Resources · 1990
被引 402
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

发现,用最大似然法估计非线性预算约束下的消费者选择问题时,隐含的不等式约束会系统性地影响替代效应和收入效应的估计,这解释了男性劳动供给文献中不同方法估计结果的分歧。

Abstract

Recent surveys on the labor-supply responses of men document a divergence in the estimates of substitution and income effects obtained using various estimation approaches. Generally, studies accounting for nonlinear tax schedules in a static setting via a piecewise-linear approach produce estimates that typically imply higher substitution and lower income responses than are suggested by empirical work applying other approaches. This paper demonstrates that maximum likelihood estimation of a consumer-choice problem with nonlinear budget sets implicitly relies on the satisfaction of inequality constraints that translate into behaviorally meaningful restrictions. These constraints arise not as a consequence of economic theory, but instead as a requirement to create a properly defined statistical model. In the analysis of piecewise-linear budget sets, the implicit constraints required by maximum likelihood in estimation amount to imposition of Slutsky conditions at all wage-income combinations associated with kink points. In the analysis of differentiable budget sets, the tacit constraints invoked by maximum likelihood also involve inequality restrictions on Slutsky terms. The empirical work presented in this study supports the contention that these implicit constraints play a major role in explaining the discrepancies in estimates found in the literature on men's labor supply.

劳动供给非线性预算约束Slutsky条件最大似然估计