戈尔巴乔夫反酒精运动与俄罗斯的死亡率危机

The Gorbachev Anti-Alcohol Campaign and Russia's Mortality Crisis

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics · 2013
被引 78
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了1985-1988年戈尔巴乔夫反酒精运动的结束如何解释1990-1994年间俄罗斯死亡率激增40%的现象,发现该运动的结束是死亡率危机的重要原因,而非通常归咎的政治经济转型。

Abstract

Political and economic transition is often blamed for Russia's 40% surge in deaths between 1990 and 1994. Highlighting that increases in mortality occurred primarily among alcohol-related causes and among working-age men (the heaviest drinkers), this paper investigates an alternative explanation: the demise of the 1985-1988 Gorbachev Anti-Alcohol Campaign. Using archival sources to build a new oblast-year data set spanning 1978-2000, we find a variety of evidence suggesting that the campaign's end explains a large share of the mortality crisis - implying that Russia's transition to capitalism and democracy was not as lethal as commonly suggested.

戈尔巴乔夫反酗酒运动俄罗斯死亡率危机酒精相关死亡率过渡期死亡率