Weak Convergence to a Matrix Stochastic Integral with Stable Processes
将单变量随机游走和I(1)过程的极限理论推广到多元时间序列,推导了最小二乘估计的极限分布,并应用于多元单位根和协整检验。
This paper generalizes the univariate results of Chan and Tran (1989, Econometric Theory 5, 354–362) and Phillips (1990, Econometric Theory 6, 44–62) to multivariate time series. We develop the limit theory for the least-squares estimate of a VAR(l) for a random walk with independent and identically distributed errors and for I(1) processes with weakly dependent errors whose distributions are in the domain of attraction of a stable law. The limit laws are represented by functional of a stable process. A semiparametric correction is used in order to asymptotically eliminate the “bias” term in the limit law. These results are also an extension of the multivariate limit theory for square-integrable disturbances derived by Phillips and Durlauf (1986, Review of Economic Studies 53, 473–495). Potential applications include tests for multivariate unit roots and cointegration.